Pii: S0168-1923(98)00126-9
نویسندگان
چکیده
We present a reformulation of the Bristow±Campbell model for daily solar radiation, developed using daily observations of radiation, temperature, humidity, and precipitation, from 40 stations in contrasting climates. By expanding the original model to include a spatially and temporally variable estimate of clear-sky transmittance, and applying a small number of other minor modi®cations, the new model produces better results than the original over a wider range of climates. Our method does not require reparameterization on a site-by-site basis, a distinct advantage over the original approach. We do require observations of dewpoint temperature, which the original model does not, but we suggest a method that could eliminate this dependency. Mean absolute error (MAE) for predictions of clear-sky transmittance was improved by 28% compared to the original model formulation. Aerosols and snowcover probably contribute to variation in clear-sky transmittance that remains unexplained by our method. MAE and bias for prediction of daily incident radiation were about 2.4 MJ mÿ2 dayÿ1 and 0.5 MJ mÿ2 dayÿ1, respectively. As a percent of the average observed values of incident radiation, MAE and bias are about 15% and 4%, respectively. The lowest errors and smallest biases (percent basis) occurred during the summer. The highest prediction biases were associated with stations having a strong seasonal concentration of precipitation, with underpredictions at summerprecipitation stations, and overpredictions at winter-precipitation stations. Further study is required to characterize the behavior of this method for tropical climates. # 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
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Pii: S0168-9002(00)00126-1
We discuss how to use the large-gain bandwidth of an X-ray SASE-FEL to produce femtosecond long pulses by chirping and compressing the output FEL radiation. We consider the power level, spectral width, and intensity #uctuations of the compressed X-ray pulses, compared to the case with no compression. ( 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PACS: 41.50; 78.47; 41.60C; 42.55
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